top of page

“So… this is how conditional support really works.”

  • Writer: Dani Lemonade
    Dani Lemonade
  • Jan 3
  • 2 min read

What the United States just signaled with Venezuela isn’t “justice.”

It’s capability and precedent.


The message isn’t only aimed at Nicolás Maduro.

It’s aimed at everyone who depends on US backing.


Zelensky has built Ukraine’s survival on alignment with the West, moral clarity, and international law.

He plays by the rulebook because the rulebook is the only thing standing between Ukraine and annihilation.


So when the US casually demonstrates that:


  • sovereignty bends when convenient

  • leaders can be targeted unilaterally

  • international mechanisms are optional

  • power outranks process

That’s not abstract to him. That’s existential.


The quiet fear no one says out loud


Zelensky is not worried because he’s a criminal.

He’s worried because standards are fluid.


Today the US decides someone is illegitimate.

Tomorrow it decides someone is inconvenient.

The day after that, priorities change, elections happen, attention drifts.


If “we don’t recognize you anymore” can morph into “we’ll deal with you directly,” then alliances stop being shields and start being leases.

And leases can expire.


What this teaches Russia immediately


Russia doesn’t see hypocrisy.

It sees confirmation.


Every time the US bypasses law, Moscow says:

“See? Power decides. Not courts. Not norms.”


That makes Zelensky’s diplomatic position harder, not easier.

Because Ukraine’s entire argument rests on the idea that rules still matter.


So what must Zelensky be thinking?


Probably this:

“We are right.

But being right is no longer the same as being safe.”


He knows Ukraine needs the US.

He also now knows exactly how transactional that need is.


And that realization doesn’t come with panic.

It comes with recalculation.



Zesty Lemon aftertaste 🍋

When the strongest democracy in the room treats international law like a suggestion, the people relying on that law don’t cheer.

They quietly start planning for a world where principles are fragile, alliances are conditional, and power writes footnotes over treaties.

Zelensky isn’t shocked.

He’s taking notes.

Comments


bottom of page